More data NSFG for duration ergm sims
Model Params:
- proportion sexually debuted by age, sex
- time to relationship transition
Target Stats:
- mean rel lengths by reltype
- inst events rate (per year)
Q: at what point do we say everyone is eligible for relationships?
(even up to age 44 not 100% sexually debuted)
Duration of relationship by type
mean of active relationships (where we assume exponential dist) plus estimates from survival analysis (using all reported relationships), exponential model fit
Means
|
reltype
|
mean_yrs
|
mean_yrs_se
|
|
Cohab
|
3.472722
|
0.0726534
|
|
Spouse
|
5.177043
|
0.0974917
|
|
Other
|
1.477610
|
0.0416491
|
Model Fits
|
|
Mean Years
|
|
cohab_mean_y
|
5.253566
|
|
spouse_mean_y
|
121.152453
|
|
other_mean_y
|
1.166214
|
Transition Times
other -> cohab (time between rel start and cohabitation)
cohab -> marriage (time between cohabitation and marriage)
other -> marriage (time between rel start and marriage, no premarital cohabitation)
what proportion of all rels are marriages, cohabs, others at cross-section?
Current Cohabs or Marriages (who cohabitated premaritally)
## Warning: Removed 9 rows containing non-finite values (stat_bin).
## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values (geom_bar).

Mean Years to Cohabitation
|
meanYears
|
meanYears_se
|
|
1.148633
|
0.0479583
|
Mean Years to Cohabitation-cohab after sex only
|
meanYears
|
meanYears_se
|
|
1.5966
|
0.0518153
|
Mean Years to Cohabitation-cohab before sex only
|
meanYears
|
meanYears_se
|
|
-0.7613631
|
0.1235473
|
Pre-Cohab Sex?
|
preCohabSex
|
prop
|
|
at cohab
|
0.1185075
|
|
no
|
0.1097379
|
|
yes
|
0.7717546
|
Current Cohabs ONLY
## Warning: Removed 9 rows containing non-finite values (stat_bin).
## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values (geom_bar).

Mean Years to Cohabitation
|
meanTime
|
meanTime_se
|
|
1.239262
|
0.0610999
|
Mean Years to Cohabitation-cohab after sex only
|
meanTime
|
meanTime_se
|
|
1.621229
|
0.0700632
|
Mean Years to Cohabitation-cohab before sex only
|
meanTime
|
meanTime_se
|
|
-0.5464445
|
0.0837645
|
Pre-Cohab Sex?
|
preCohabSex
|
prop
|
|
at cohab
|
0.1073203
|
|
no
|
0.0959446
|
|
yes
|
0.7967352
|
Cohab to Marriage
Pre-Marital Cohabitation
|
pmcohab
|
prop
|
prop_se
|
|
no
|
0.4379293
|
0.0144285
|
|
yes
|
0.5620707
|
0.0144285
|
Mean time cohab to marriage
|
meanYears
|
meanYears_se
|
|
2.062637
|
0.0767463
|
## Warning: Removed 4 rows containing non-finite values (stat_bin).
## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values (geom_bar).

Other to Marriage
|
meanYears
|
meanYears_se
|
|
2.292905
|
0.0726792
|
## Warning: Removed 152 rows containing non-finite values (stat_bin).
## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values (geom_bar).

Inst Partners
average number of inst partners per year per person by sex and age/agecat
All alters
(mean one-times in last year by sex, race, agecat- inactive one-time partners)
By Sex & Ego Race
|
sex
|
15-19
|
20-24
|
25-29
|
|
F
|
0.0607512
|
0.0175987
|
0.014582
|
|
M
|
0.3071809
|
0.1922982
|
0.085318
|
By Sex & Ego Race
|
sex
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
26
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
|
F
|
0.153
|
0.141
|
0.084
|
0.039
|
0.023
|
0.023
|
0.010
|
0.025
|
0.018
|
0.013
|
0.039
|
0.008
|
0.014
|
0.006
|
0.006
|
|
M
|
0.373
|
0.365
|
0.376
|
0.271
|
0.250
|
0.219
|
0.285
|
0.168
|
0.128
|
0.166
|
0.121
|
0.068
|
0.085
|
0.090
|
0.061
|
All alters
(mean one-times in last year by sex, race, agecat- inactive one-time partners)
By Sex & Ego AgeCat
|
sex
|
15-19
|
20-24
|
25-29
|
|
F
|
0.0313122
|
0.0165716
|
0.0089481
|
|
M
|
0.2708342
|
0.1848112
|
0.0752273
|
By Sex & Ego Age
|
sex
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
26
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
|
F
|
0.0545647
|
0.0215062
|
0.0340271
|
0.0390854
|
0.0228425
|
0.0229291
|
0.0094265
|
0.0232677
|
0.0169769
|
0.0115723
|
0.0194742
|
0.0061669
|
0.0118283
|
0.0056013
|
0.0016526
|
|
M
|
0.1645058
|
0.2624830
|
0.3383046
|
0.2714142
|
0.2493578
|
0.2082830
|
0.2798085
|
0.1635516
|
0.1121350
|
0.1625929
|
0.1049206
|
0.0568698
|
0.0790928
|
0.0808224
|
0.0531845
|